Pulling no budget punches

Corzine warns of deep cuts and possible tax hikes ahead
Tuesday, March 07, 2006 • BY JOE DONOHUE • Star-Ledger Staff

In his starkest remarks yet about the state's bleak financial outlook, Gov. Jon Corzine said yesterday he will have to impose deep cuts and possibly raise taxes to close a projected multibillion-dollar budget gap.

"New Jersey is on the verge of fiscal disaster. And this is our day of reckoning," Corzine told more than 350 representatives of unions, businesses, consumer groups and colleges invited to a sobering information session at Rutgers University in New Brunswick.

Corzine will recommend a new state budget in two weeks. He said during last year's campaign that tax increases would be a "last resort." But yesterday he acknowledged he doubts that cuts alone can overcome a shortfall that his advisers now project at $4.5billion.

"There are real cuts coming, and if we're not able to do it all with cuts, we'll fill that gap," said the governor.

Former state Treasurer Michael Horn, a Republican and a member of Corzine's transition team, said he thinks tax increases are inevitable. "I think enhanced revenues through tax increases, whether they be permanent or temporary, will have to be done," Horn told the gathering.

Some of those attending the five-hour session said they were stunned by the governor's candor.

"Quite frankly, I've got knots in my stomach right now because it's abundantly clear to me there's going have to be some hard choices," said William Dressel, executive director of the New Jersey League of Municipalities. "I am very concerned that municipal aid could be on the chopping block."

James Hughes, a Rutgers University economist who listened to the presentation, said few governors have spoken so openly about a budget before giving their formal address.

"This is unprecedented and it's probably a very, very wise move," said Hughes. "Because the problems are going to involve an awful lot of pain and you might as well be out in front and prepare people for what's coming."

In addition to yesterday's meeting, Corzine has slated town meetings with the public about the budget crisis tonight at Montclair University, tomorrow at Monmouth University, and Thursday at Rowan University. All three start at 7 p.m.

Corzine said that after more than two decades at the investment firm Goldman Sachs, he understands the need to be accountable to "stakeholders" -- in this case, the general public.

"There needs to be a dialogue so that people understand that these choices we talk about are not free. They come with real costs," the governor said.

"This year's budget is in trouble, plain and simple. You could argue about what the size of that trouble is. But it's real. We've got a huge hole to fill," Corzine said. He added that he believes he won election because people expect a "business focus on the problems we have as a state. I intend to deliver on that."

While Corzine deftly avoiding speaking the "t-word" directly, his transition team weeks ago recommended a temporary surtax, possibly on state income taxes, and an extension of the sales tax to currently untaxed services as possible solutions.

On a recent radio show, Corzine raised the possibility of a gross receipts tax like one used on businesses in New Mexico. Business lobbyists also are nervous that Corzine will reinstate about $400million in corporate taxes that are scheduled to lapse when the current budget year ends June 30.

Former state Treasurer Clifford Goldman, a Democrat, said Corzine is a victim of too many years when state officials of both parties spent too much, then delayed dealing with the full cost through fiscal tricks like borrowing and raiding the unemployment trust fund. Just between 2002 and this year, officials raised about $16billion through these gimmicks, Goldman said.

Court edicts also have made the state's budget problem more difficult. On the one hand, the state Supreme Court ordered billions in new spending for poor school districts. But it also has banned the state from using new debt to balance the budget.

Goldman said spending will consistently exceed revenue growth unless Corzine takes painful steps now to bridge the gap.

Corzine said a crackdown on waste, fraud and abuse will only go so far. He estimated, for example, that it might reduce Medicaid costs by $50million next year. But he said the efforts will not be anywhere near enough to close the gap, or avoid tax increases. "It is not going to be a fundamental solution to our budget problems," he said.

Added new Treasurer Bradley Abelow: "We don't have great choices. There is no choice but to reduce the growth of state spending."

While the news presented at Rutgers was all grim, Corzine sought to assure school board officials during an earlier meeting that he will try to maintain the current $9.7billion in state funding for local school districts.


Joe Donohue covers state government and politics. He may be reached at jdonohue@starledger.com or (609) 989-0208.
© 2006 The Star-Ledger. Used by NJ.com with permission.

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